Bitcoin accounts for 90% of the crypto trading volume on Kalshi, a prediction market platform, according to John Wang, Head of Crypto at Kalshi. Speaking at the Bitcoin 2026 conference, Wang highlighted that Bitcoin is not only the largest trading category but also the primary deposit payment method on the platform, surpassing stablecoins. Kalshi's prediction markets offer various independent risk exposures, with current probabilities indicating a 7% chance of Satoshi Nakamoto transferring his holdings by year-end and a 44% likelihood of Bitcoin exceeding $100,000 by the same time. The platform also features markets for regulatory events, including quantum computing risks and the CLARITY Act.