Morgan Stanley maintains its forecast for Federal Reserve rate cuts in June and September, despite market expectations shifting towards a December cut. Chief U.S. economist Michael Gapen reiterated this outlook during a Bloomberg News roundtable, acknowledging potential delays due to rising oil prices and inflation concerns following the Iran war.
Market sentiment has adjusted, with futures now indicating a 60% probability of a 25-basis-point cut in September, down from earlier expectations of a 50-basis-point cut this year. Economists at TD Securities and Barclays have also revised their forecasts, now anticipating the next rate cut in September instead of June.
Morgan Stanley Predicts Fed Rate Cuts in June and September Despite Market Skepticism
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