The CME FedWatch tool indicates an 83.9% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January 2026. The likelihood of a 25-basis-point rate cut stands at 16.1%. Looking ahead to March 2026, the probability of a 25-basis-point cut increases to 45.4%, while the chance of maintaining current rates is 47.7%.
Meanwhile, the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework continues to provide regulatory clarity within the European Union. Concurrently, global regulators are focusing on Countering the Financing of Terrorism (CFT) measures as part of broader efforts to enhance financial oversight.
Fed Likely to Maintain Interest Rates in January 2026, CME Tool Indicates
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