CME's 'FedWatch' tool currently shows an 86.7% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates in January 2026, with only a 13.3% chance of a 25-basis-point reduction. Looking ahead to March 2026, the likelihood of a 25-basis-point cut increases to 40.7%, while the probability of no change stands at 54.4%, and a 50-basis-point cut is at 5.0%. These projections come as global regulatory changes, such as the Countering the Financing of Terrorism and the EU Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation, influence market dynamics. Investors are closely monitoring these developments for potential impacts on monetary policy.