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Super Prediction Explained: Two Ways to Split $100,000 on the Phemex Prediction Market

Key Points

How Phemex Super Prediction works. Clear three round thresholds for an equal share of $50,000, and climb the Trading Volume Leaderboard for a cut of another $50,000. The full $100,000 prediction market guide.

One hundred thousand dollars, and two completely different ways to take a piece of it. Super Prediction is the corner of the Phemex 2026 Ultimate Championship built for prediction market traders, and it does not care whether you trade big or trade smart. There is a lane for each.

Clear the round thresholds and you split a fixed pool with everyone else who qualified, whatever your size. Climb the Trading Volume Leaderboard and you compete for a top-heavy prize that rewards the heaviest hitters. The $100,000 splits evenly between the two, $50,000 a side, and you can chase both at once.

Super Prediction at a glance
 
Prize pool
$100,000 USDT ($50,000 rounds + $50,000 leaderboard)
Where it runs
The Phemex Prediction Market
To share a round
Trade across the round's minimum different events and clear the volume bar
To win the leaderboard
Finish top 100 by prediction market volume
Rounds
Three, from June 8 through July 20
 
 
 

How Super Prediction Works

Super Prediction runs on the Phemex Prediction Market, where you trade event contracts on tournament outcomes and other markets. Your trading there feeds two separate competitions at the same time.

The first is a set of three round thresholds. Clear a round's targets and you share that round's pool equally with every other trader who cleared them. The second is a single Trading Volume Leaderboard that runs the whole event and pays the top 100 by volume. The $100,000 prize splits $50,000 to the rounds and $50,000 to the leaderboard.

The Three Rounds ($50,000)

Each round asks for two things. You need trades spread across a minimum number of different events, and a minimum total volume. Clear both and you are in that round's pool, split evenly among everyone who qualified.

Round
Window (UTC)
Min Different Events
Min Volume
Pool
Round 1: Group Stage
Jun 8 to Jun 28
10
1,000 USDT
$10,000
Round 2: Knockouts
Jun 29 to Jul 13
10
1,000 USDT
$15,000
Round 3: Finals
Jul 14 to Jul 20
5
1,000 USDT
$25,000

The pools climb as the tournament tightens, from $10,000 in the group stage to $25,000 in the finals. Clear all three and you collect an equal share from each.

One rule here is easy to trip over, so get it right early. The threshold counts different events, not repeat trades. Think of it this way: ten orders on the same market still leave you at one event, while orders across ten different events clear the bar. Different markets under the same event count as one too. Breadth is the requirement, not repetition, and the event count resets each round.

The Volume Leaderboard ($50,000)

The other half is one leaderboard for the whole event, ranking the top 100 traders by prediction market volume. It pays by rank, and it pays steep at the top.

Rank
Reward (Trading Bonus)
1
20,000 USDT
2
16,000 USDT
3
12,000 USDT
4 to 10
100 USDT each
11 to 50
20 USDT each
51 to 100
10 USDT each

The top three take $48,000 of the $50,000 between just three traders. Everyone from 4th to 100th splits the remaining $2,000. This lane is a heavyweight contest. If you are pushing serious volume, it is where the biggest single checks live. If you are not, the round thresholds are the smarter target.

Which Lane Is Yours

Most traders should play the rounds. The threshold pools split evenly, so you do not need to outgun anyone. You just need to clear the bar, enough different events and enough volume, and you are in. Hit all three rounds and you hold a share of $50,000 no matter how the giants above you trade.

The leaderboard is the high-volume game. Three traders walk away with almost the entire $50,000, so unless you are moving real size, treat any leaderboard finish as a bonus stacked on top of your round shares, not the plan.

The sharp move is to clear every round first, then let your volume carry you up the board as a second prize.

The Fine Print

A few mechanics worth knowing before you start:

  • Different events are what count. Multiple orders on the same event, or on different markets under the same event, register as one. The event count resets each round.

  • The leaderboard refreshes every 10 minutes, with final rankings locked before July 21.

  • Payouts settle at different times. Round rewards pay after each round closes and the data is confirmed, split equally among everyone who qualified. Leaderboard rewards pay after the event ends and risk control clears.

How to Get Started

Step 1: Register and complete KYC. Set up at phemex.com/register. Verification is required for any reward.

Step 2: Open the Phemex Prediction Market. Head to the Prediction Market. This is where Super Prediction lives.

Step 3: Clear the live round. Spread your trades across the round's minimum number of events and push past the volume bar. Round 1 runs through June 28, and Round 2 opens June 29.

Step 4: Keep your volume up. Every trade builds your leaderboard standing on top of your round progress, so there is no wasted activity.

 

FAQ

How is Super Prediction different from Victory Rush Predictions?

They are two separate tracks that both happen to involve predicting. Victory Rush Predictions runs on Golden Balls, which you spend on World Cup stage outcomes on the event page. Super Prediction runs on your prediction market trading volume, with no Golden Balls involved. Different mechanic, different currency, different pool.

Do I need Golden Balls for Super Prediction?

No. Super Prediction is driven entirely by your trading on the Prediction Market. Golden Balls are for the Victory Rush predictions and the Lucky Draw, not this track.

How is each round pool divided?

Equally. Everyone who clears a round's event and volume thresholds takes the same share of that round's pool, regardless of how much they traded beyond the bar.

Can I win a round pool and place on the leaderboard?

Yes. The two run in parallel. Clearing rounds and climbing the leaderboard are separate payouts, and strong volume can land you both.

When do rewards pay out?

Round rewards settle after each round closes and the data is confirmed. Leaderboard rewards settle after the event ends, once the board is locked and risk control review is complete.

The bottom line

$100,000, split between three round pools you share by clearing a bar and one leaderboard you climb by trading. The rounds are the accessible play, an equal cut for everyone who qualifies. The leaderboard is the heavyweight bonus on top. Open the Prediction Market and spread your trades across the round's events. Clear the volume bar before each round closes, and let your leaderboard standing build on top.

 
 

Phemex is a user-first crypto exchange trusted by over 10 million traders worldwide. The platform offers spot andfutures trading, copy trading, trading bots, and earn crypto.

This article is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Prediction market products are speculative in nature and may be restricted, regulated, or unavailable in certain jurisdictions, and users are responsible for ensuring their participation is permitted. This event runs June 8 to July 20, 2026 UTC. KYC verification is required for all rewards. Leaderboard and round data are subject to Phemex system records, and trades that do not meet event criteria may be excluded. All prizes are in USDT or Trading Bonus unless otherwise specified. Trading Bonus rewards are non-withdrawable. Cryptocurrency trading carries inherent risk. Users are responsible for all trading decisions and outcomes. This event is not affiliated with Apple Inc., FIFA, or any official football championship entity.

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Disclaimer
This content provided on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, without representation or warranty of any kind. It should not be construed as financial, legal or other professional advice, nor is it intended to recommend the purchase of any specific product or service. You should seek your own advice from appropriate professional advisors. Products mentioned in this article may not be available in your region. Digital asset prices can be volatile. The value of your investment may go down or up and you may not get back the amount invested. For further information, please refer to our Terms of Use and Risk Disclosure

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