Prediction market Polymarket reveals a significant lack of confidence among traders regarding Bitcoin's potential to hit $130,000 by the end of 2025. As of December 9, only 1% of traders believe in this outcome, despite $10 million being wagered. In contrast, three times as many bets predict Bitcoin will fall to $65,000, and 61% of traders expect a maximum price of $95,000 by year-end. The odds for Bitcoin reaching $130,000 have plummeted from 56% in late October to nearly zero by December.