The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates at 4.25%–4.50% during its meeting on July 19, 2025, with a 96.9% probability of no change, according to veteran trader Matthew Dixon. A minor 3.1% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut exists, but the Fed's stance remains firmly on hold. This decision comes amid political pressure from President Trump, who has criticized Fed Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates more aggressively. The Fed's decision is influenced by moderated inflation trends and stable unemployment rates. The crypto market may benefit from stable rates, as historically, lower yields encourage risk-taking in assets like Bitcoin and altcoins.