Bitcoin is poised for heightened volatility as macroeconomic factors, including the potential resolution of the U.S. government shutdown, come into play. The Senate has passed a temporary funding measure, and the House of Representatives is set to vote, which could end the 42-day shutdown and stabilize markets. Additionally, geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and China over 127,000 BTC allegedly stolen in 2025 are adding to market uncertainty. The U.S. Department of Justice links the funds to illegal activities, while China's CVERC accuses the U.S. of state theft. Market sentiment remains mixed, with 96% of Polymarket bets predicting the shutdown will end soon, though delays could negatively impact Bitcoin's outlook.